US equities lower, but is the market cheap or expensive?

Valuations now are right back where they were in late 2019 however the environment was vastly different then. CPI inflation was about 2 per cent; now it’s about 8 per cent. Ten-year rates were 2 per cent, not today’s 3.5 per cent. All these contrasts should argue for a lower market multiple today than in 2019 – inflation, with its accompanying volatility and uncertainty, should compress multiples.


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